The sixth-seeded Nittany Lions (11-2) will face 11th-seeded SMU (11-2) and blustery weather in a first-round game Saturday at noon (TV-TNT). The winner will advance to the CFP quarterfinals to meet third-seeded Boise State in the Dec. 31 Fiesta Bowl in Glendale, Ariz. The loser will see its season end.

SportsLine's model simulated Saturday's Penn State Nittany Lions vs. SMU Mustangs College Football Playoff first round matchup 10,000 times

The College Football Playoff is finally here. This weekend, we’ll be treated to four first-round games: Notre Dame-Indiana, Penn State-SMU, Texas-Clemson and Ohio State-Tennessee. So, let’s make some picks.